College Basketball · Updated daily
College Basketball
Adjusted efficiency, four factors, player impact, and matchup projections for every Division I team — built to show how teams actually play, not just who they've beaten.
Explore
NCAA tools
Rankings
Complete NCAA team and player rankings with AdjEM, adjusted efficiency, four factors, sorting, search, season, conference, and tournament filters.
Matchup
Head-to-head forecasts for any two teams, including projected score, margin, win probability, four-factor edges, key drivers, volatility, and recent form.
Outlook
Next-season roster projections built from player talent, minutes, fit, continuity, uncertainty, and editable roster scenarios.
Visualizations
Interactive charts like Trapezoid of Excellence, Efficiency Landscape, Crystal Ball, Cinderella Index, Bracket Simulator, and custom scatterplots.
Glossary
Definitions, formulas, and interpretation notes for MacFax metrics and model concepts.
Model Health
Locked-prediction validation showing winner accuracy, spread error, score error, calibration, trends, and recent evaluated games.
Latest
NCAA visualizations
Trapezoid of Excellence
Plots every D-I team by adjusted tempo and AdjEM against a season-calibrated contender zone, showing which efficiency-tempo profiles resemble historical deep-run teams.
Efficiency Landscape
Maps every D-I team by adjusted offense and defense with championship tier lines, separating balanced contenders from offense-first, defense-first, and lower-tier profiles.
Crystal Ball
Scores every D-I team against 15 historical championship benchmarks across efficiency, four factors, resume, shooting, and poll signals to rank contender profiles.