College Basketball · Updated daily
College Basketball
Adjusted efficiency, four factors, and matchup forecasts for all 365 Division I teams — ranked by what they actually do on the floor, not their record.
Explore
NCAA tools
Rankings
Full AdjEM table with four factors, sortable by any metric and filterable by conference.
Matchup
Head-to-head projections for any two teams — margin, win probability, and the four-factor edges.
Outlook
Season projections and tournament resume — where each team is trending into March.
Visualizations
The Trapezoid of Excellence, Efficiency Landscape, and more — read the season at a glance.
Glossary
Plain-English definitions for every metric. What the numbers mean and why they matter.
Model Health
How the model is performing this season — calibration, accuracy, and recent hits.
Latest
NCAA visualizations
Trapezoid of Excellence
The four factors plotted as a single shape — see exactly where a team wins and loses games.
Efficiency Landscape
Every D-I team on one offense-vs-defense plane. Elite lives in the top-right.
Crystal Ball
Win-probability curves for the games that matter most.