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Illinois
No. 4· B10

Illinois

Record 28-9Tempo 66.9Off 130.2Def 99.2
Adj. Efficiency Margin+30.98
Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin
#4
30.98
Adjusted Offensive Efficiency
#2
130.2
Adjusted Defensive Efficiency
#21
99.2
Adjusted Tempo
#282
66.9

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)
#9
77.2

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%
#26
56.9%
TOV%
#5
12.8%
ORB%
#3
41.4%
FTR
#159
36.1%

🔮 Crystal Ball

12 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

80% complete
*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

PASS
Value:Inside
Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

PASS
Value:O: 130.2, D: 99.2
Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

PASS
Value:31.0
Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

PASS
Value:75.7%
Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

PASS
Value:Off: #2, Def: #21
Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS
Value:34.5%
Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

PASS
Value:Z: 2.55
Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

FAIL
Value:#13
Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL
Value:77.2
Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

PASS
Value:11.7%
Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL
Value:0.0%
Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS
Value:16.4%
Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS
Value:16.44
Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

PASS
Value:7.4
Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS
Value:78.0%
Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)