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No. 2· ACC
Duke
Record 35-3Tempo 65.6Off 128.4Def 93.7
Adj. Efficiency Margin+34.71
Core Metrics
Adjusted Efficiency Margin
#234.71
Adjusted Offensive Efficiency
#4128.4
Adjusted Defensive Efficiency
#493.7
Adjusted Tempo
#32865.6
Four Factor Performance
Four Factor Index (WZ100)
#1
90.0
Overall four-factor dominance score
eFG%
#559.3%
TOV%
#10515.7%
ORB%
#441.0%
FTR
#4040.6%
🔮 Crystal Ball
15 / 15
National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*
100% complete
*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.
Trapezoid of Excellence
PASS
Value:Inside
Need:Inside trapezoid
Balanced Dominance
PASS
Value:O: 128.4, D: 93.7
Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4
Title Favorite (AdjEM)
PASS
Value:34.7
Need:≥ 30.5
Win Percentage
PASS
Value:92.1%
Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)
Elite Efficiency
PASS
Value:Off: #4, Def: #4
Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45
3-Point %
PASS
Value:34.7%
Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)
Elite AdjEM
PASS
Value:Z: 2.86
Need:Z ≥ 1.76
AP Poll Week 6
PASS
Value:#3
Need:≤ 12
Four Factor Index
PASS
Value:90.0
Need:≥ 77.8
eFG Margin
PASS
Value:14.8%
Need:≥ 7.5%
Turnover Edge
PASS
Value:3.0%
Need:≥ 0.4%
Rebounding Edge
PASS
Value:17.7%
Need:≥ 1.5%
FTR Margin
PASS
Value:17.24
Need:≥ -4.28
WAB (Wins Above Bubble)
PASS
Value:13.6
Need:> 5
Free Throw %
PASS
Value:72.9%
Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)