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Duke
No. 2· ACC

Duke

Record 35-3Tempo 65.6Off 128.4Def 93.7
Adj. Efficiency Margin+34.71
Outlook

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin
#2
34.71
Adjusted Offensive Efficiency
#4
128.4
Adjusted Defensive Efficiency
#4
93.7
Adjusted Tempo
#328
65.6

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)
#1
90.0

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%
#5
59.3%
TOV%
#105
15.7%
ORB%
#4
41.0%
FTR
#40
40.6%

🔮 Crystal Ball

15 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

100% complete
*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

PASS
Value:Inside
Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

PASS
Value:O: 128.4, D: 93.7
Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

PASS
Value:34.7
Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

PASS
Value:92.1%
Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

PASS
Value:Off: #4, Def: #4
Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS
Value:34.7%
Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

PASS
Value:Z: 2.86
Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

PASS
Value:#3
Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

PASS
Value:90.0
Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

PASS
Value:14.8%
Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS
Value:3.0%
Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS
Value:17.7%
Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS
Value:17.24
Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

PASS
Value:13.6
Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS
Value:72.9%
Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)