No. 225· CAA

Stony Brook

Record 17-15Tempo 68.5Off 105.5Def 110.1

Adj. Efficiency Margin-4.52

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#225

-4.52

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#253

105.5

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#196

110.1

Adjusted Tempo

#191

68.5

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#233

45.3

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#203

50.8%

TOV%

#220

17.3%

ORB%

#255

28.3%

FTR

#342

28.4%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 105.5, D: 110.1

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-4.5

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:53.1%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #253, Def: #196

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:34.8%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.38

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:45.3

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-1.1%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.9%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-3.1%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-7.65

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-10.1

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:72.3%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)