No. 320· MEAC

Norfolk St.

Record 15-17Tempo 69.0Off 103.5Def 116.5

Adj. Efficiency Margin-13.02

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#320

-13.02

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#291

103.5

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#317

116.5

Adjusted Tempo

#150

69.0

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#232

45.5

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#276

49.0%

TOV%

#307

18.6%

ORB%

#197

30.2%

FTR

#77

38.9%

🔮 Crystal Ball

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National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

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*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 103.5, D: 116.5

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-13.0

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:46.9%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #291, Def: #317

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:34.2%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -1.08

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:45.5

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-6.3%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.8%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.7%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-5.19

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-13.3

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:68.1%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)