No. 171· MAAC

Marist

Record 19-12Tempo 67.0Off 102.2Def 102.0

Adj. Efficiency Margin+0.28

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#171

0.28

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#311

102.2

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#40

102.0

Adjusted Tempo

#277

67.0

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#77

61.0

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#296

48.7%

TOV%

#245

17.6%

ORB%

#280

27.5%

FTR

#352

27.3%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 102.2, D: 102.0

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:0.3

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:61.3%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #311, Def: #40

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:32.2%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.02

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:61.0

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:0.6%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:0.9%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.8%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-12.79

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-8.7

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:78.1%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)