No. 76· ACC

California

Record 22-12Tempo 69.7Off 113.9Def 103.8

Adj. Efficiency Margin+10.10

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#76

10.10

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#88

113.9

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#64

103.8

Adjusted Tempo

#119

69.7

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#125

55.1

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#84

53.9%

TOV%

#53

14.8%

ORB%

#295

27.2%

FTR

#120

37.4%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

27% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 113.9, D: 103.8

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:10.1

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:64.7%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #88, Def: #64

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:36.9%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.83

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:55.1

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:5.2%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:2.1%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.1%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:1.92

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-1.6

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:77.4%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)