No. 139· MAC

Bowling Green

Record 18-14Tempo 69.7Off 107.2Def 105.0

Adj. Efficiency Margin+2.16

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#139

2.16

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#215

107.2

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#84

105.0

Adjusted Tempo

#118

69.7

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#101

57.1

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#214

50.6%

TOV%

#160

16.5%

ORB%

#254

28.3%

FTR

#161

36.0%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

27% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 107.2, D: 105.0

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:2.2

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:56.3%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #215, Def: #84

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:34.4%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.17

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:57.1

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-0.3%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:1.5%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:0.4%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:-1.96

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-9.5

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:72.3%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)