No. 214· Horz

Youngstown St.

Record 15-17Tempo 68.2Off 106.2Def 109.1

Adj. Efficiency Margin-2.80

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#214

-2.80

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#233

106.2

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#172

109.1

Adjusted Tempo

#202

68.2

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#184

50.7

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#144

52.1%

TOV%

#314

18.8%

ORB%

#219

29.4%

FTR

#296

30.4%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 106.2, D: 109.1

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-2.8

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:46.9%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #233, Def: #172

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:33.8%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.24

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:50.7

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-0.1%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.6%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.9%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-8.25

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-12.7

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:73.3%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)