No. 97· BE

Xavier

Record 15-18Tempo 71.3Off 116.3Def 110.1

Adj. Efficiency Margin+6.18

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#97

6.18

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#68

116.3

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#198

110.1

Adjusted Tempo

#32

71.3

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#240

45.0

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#89

53.8%

TOV%

12.9%

ORB%

#287

27.3%

FTR

#336

29.0%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

27% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 116.3, D: 110.1

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:6.2

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:45.5%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #68, Def: #198

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:36.5%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.50

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:45.0

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:1.3%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:3.7%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.1%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:-2.96

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-5.2

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:72.9%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)