No. 156· BSth

Winthrop

Record 23-11Tempo 70.4Off 112.1Def 110.7

Adj. Efficiency Margin+1.31

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#156

1.31

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#117

112.1

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#209

110.7

Adjusted Tempo

#68

70.4

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#103

57.0

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#260

49.3%

TOV%

#93

15.4%

ORB%

#99

32.9%

FTR

#17

42.5%

🔮 Crystal Ball

5 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

33% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 112.1, D: 110.7

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:1.3

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:67.6%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #117, Def: #209

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:33.2%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.10

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:57.0

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-2.8%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:1.0%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:4.5%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:4.44

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-5.3

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:72.9%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)