No. 145· CAA

William & Mary

Record 20-12Tempo 72.3Off 111.8Def 109.9

Adj. Efficiency Margin+1.91

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#145

1.91

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#126

111.8

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#193

109.9

Adjusted Tempo

#17

72.3

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#92

58.2

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#92

53.7%

TOV%

#175

16.6%

ORB%

#318

26.3%

FTR

#23

41.9%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

27% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 111.8, D: 109.9

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:1.9

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:62.5%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #126, Def: #193

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:33.0%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.15

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:58.2

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:1.0%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:1.9%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-4.0%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:8.93

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-6.6

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:74.9%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)