No. 364· OVC

Western Illinois

Record 5-26Tempo 67.6Off 94.9Def 121.6

Adj. Efficiency Margin-26.70

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#364

-26.70

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#358

94.9

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#358

121.6

Adjusted Tempo

#237

67.6

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#360

20.0

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#362

44.5%

TOV%

#221

17.3%

ORB%

#332

25.4%

FTR

#188

34.8%

🔮 Crystal Ball

1 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

7% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 94.9, D: 121.6

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-26.7

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:16.1%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #358, Def: #358

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:30.9%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -2.20

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:20.0

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-12.2%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-2.7%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-8.3%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:-0.28

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-22.7

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:66.2%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)