No. 54· B10

Washington

Record 16-17Tempo 68.7Off 115.9Def 103.2

Adj. Efficiency Margin+12.72

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#54

12.72

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#72

115.9

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#55

103.2

Adjusted Tempo

#172

68.7

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#111

56.0

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#114

53.0%

TOV%

#67

15.0%

ORB%

#37

35.6%

FTR

#250

32.4%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

27% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 115.9, D: 103.2

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:12.7

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:48.5%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #72, Def: #55

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:31.5%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 1.04

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:56.0

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:5.3%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:0.7%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:8.6%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:3.14

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-4.1

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:76.4%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)