No. 301· NEC

Wagner

Record 14-17Tempo 67.3Off 103.9Def 114.7

Adj. Efficiency Margin-10.81

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#301

-10.81

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#283

103.9

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#295

114.7

Adjusted Tempo

#253

67.3

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#254

43.2

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#277

49.0%

TOV%

#323

19.0%

ORB%

#112

32.5%

FTR

#264

31.8%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 103.9, D: 114.7

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-10.8

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:45.2%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #283, Def: #295

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:36.5%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.89

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:43.2

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-3.5%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-4.8%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:2.3%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-11.91

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-13.5

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:72.6%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)