No. 18· ACC

Virginia

Record 30-6Tempo 67.8Off 122.0Def 99.0

Adj. Efficiency Margin+22.92

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#18

22.92

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#25

122.0

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#20

99.0

Adjusted Tempo

#226

67.8

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#11

75.8

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#42

56.0%

TOV%

#88

15.4%

ORB%

39.0%

FTR

#215

33.9%

🔮 Crystal Ball

10 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

67% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

PASS

Value:O: 122.0, D: 99.0

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:22.9

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

PASS

Value:83.3%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #25, Def: #20

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:36.2%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

PASS

Value:Z: 1.88

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

FAIL

Value:#24

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:75.8

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

PASS

Value:11.4%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:1.1%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:12.0%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:2.15

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

PASS

Value:7.1

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:72.8%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)