No. 220· AE

Vermont

Record 22-12Tempo 66.2Off 107.5Def 111.0

Adj. Efficiency Margin-3.56

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#220

-3.56

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#209

107.5

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#218

111.0

Adjusted Tempo

#312

66.2

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#88

58.7

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#146

52.1%

TOV%

#111

15.8%

ORB%

#334

25.3%

FTR

#261

31.8%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 107.5, D: 111.0

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-3.6

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:64.7%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #209, Def: #218

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:33.3%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.30

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:58.7

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:0.2%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-2.0%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.5%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-6.04

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-9.1

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:71.9%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)