No. 167· MVC

Valparaiso

Record 18-15Tempo 67.0Off 108.6Def 108.1

Adj. Efficiency Margin+0.57

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#167

0.57

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#189

108.6

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#148

108.1

Adjusted Tempo

#272

67.0

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#196

49.5

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#293

48.7%

TOV%

#101

15.6%

ORB%

#140

31.8%

FTR

#24

41.8%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 108.6, D: 108.1

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:0.6

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:54.5%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #189, Def: #148

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:33.9%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.04

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:49.5

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-1.1%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:1.6%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:0.5%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:6.05

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-7.8

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:70.9%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)