No. 347· Amer

UTSA

Record 5-25Tempo 69.0Off 99.8Def 118.1

Adj. Efficiency Margin-18.24

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#347

-18.24

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#338

99.8

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#339

118.1

Adjusted Tempo

#148

69.0

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#359

20.0

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#355

45.7%

TOV%

#202

16.9%

ORB%

#185

30.6%

FTR

#335

29.0%

🔮 Crystal Ball

1 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

7% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 99.8, D: 118.1

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-18.2

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:16.7%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #338, Def: #339

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:29.2%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -1.51

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:20.0

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-8.2%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.6%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-6.1%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:-2.46

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-18.8

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:69.8%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)