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Utah St.
No. 25· MWC

Utah St.

Record 29-7Tempo 67.9Off 123.2Def 102.7
Adj. Efficiency Margin+20.44
Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin
#25
20.44
Adjusted Offensive Efficiency
#17
123.2
Adjusted Defensive Efficiency
#50
102.7
Adjusted Tempo
#222
67.9

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)
#15
73.9

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%
#18
57.3%
TOV%
#39
14.5%
ORB%
#50
35.0%
FTR
#86
38.6%

🔮 Crystal Ball

6 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

40% complete
*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL
Value:Outside
Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL
Value:O: 123.2, D: 102.7
Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL
Value:20.4
Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

PASS
Value:80.6%
Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL
Value:Off: #17, Def: #50
Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS
Value:34.3%
Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL
Value:Z: 1.68
Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A
Value:N/A
Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL
Value:73.9
Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

PASS
Value:8.8%
Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS
Value:6.4%
Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS
Value:3.9%
Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS
Value:2.70
Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL
Value:4.7
Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL
Value:70.9%
Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)
🥿

Cinderella Index

Upset-potential score based on strength, defense, possession, variance & resume.

87
Elite Cinderella Threat
⚠ Seeded 2 spots worse than AdjEM suggests — underseeded!
Underseeded (28%)94
Defense (27%)89
Possession (21%)92
Variance (14%)60
Resume (10%)89
View full Cinderella Index →