No. 103· MWC

UNLV

Record 18-17Tempo 70.9Off 114.6Def 109.1

Adj. Efficiency Margin+5.47

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#103

5.47

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#82

114.6

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#175

109.1

Adjusted Tempo

#46

70.9

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#173

51.6

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#62

54.8%

TOV%

#149

16.4%

ORB%

#143

31.8%

FTR

#34

41.0%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 114.6, D: 109.1

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:5.5

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:51.4%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #82, Def: #175

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:35.2%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.45

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:51.6

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:3.4%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:1.4%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:1.4%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:-1.48

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-5.9

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:67.7%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)