No. 101· CAA

UNC Wilmington

Record 27-7Tempo 65.8Off 112.1Def 106.4

Adj. Efficiency Margin+5.71

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#101

5.71

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#115

112.1

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#108

106.4

Adjusted Tempo

#325

65.8

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#43

65.6

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#249

49.7%

TOV%

#72

15.1%

ORB%

#68

34.3%

FTR

#62

39.6%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

27% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 112.1, D: 106.4

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:5.7

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

PASS

Value:79.4%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #115, Def: #108

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:35.0%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.47

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:65.6

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:0.7%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.5%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:6.9%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:9.80

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-2.5

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:68.7%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)