No. 311· AE

UMass Lowell

Record 15-18Tempo 69.4Off 103.7Def 116.0

Adj. Efficiency Margin-12.22

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#311

-12.22

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#287

103.7

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#310

116.0

Adjusted Tempo

#126

69.4

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#275

40.5

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#268

49.1%

TOV%

#328

19.2%

ORB%

#115

32.4%

FTR

#209

34.2%

🔮 Crystal Ball

1 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

7% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 103.7, D: 116.0

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-12.2

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:45.5%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #287, Def: #310

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:32.2%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -1.01

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:40.5

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-5.0%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-5.8%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:1.3%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:4.13

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-13.6

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:65.7%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)