No. 141· BW

UC Santa Barbara

Record 18-14Tempo 66.4Off 113.3Def 111.2

Adj. Efficiency Margin+2.07

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#141

2.07

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#98

113.3

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#220

111.2

Adjusted Tempo

#302

66.4

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#131

54.9

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#70

54.4%

TOV%

#279

18.3%

ORB%

#152

31.4%

FTR

#170

35.6%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 113.3, D: 111.2

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:2.1

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:56.3%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #98, Def: #220

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:37.4%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.17

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:54.9

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:1.1%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.8%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:4.8%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-5.12

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-9.1

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:77.5%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)