No. 277· BW

UC Riverside

Record 10-22Tempo 69.2Off 103.2Def 112.1

Adj. Efficiency Margin-8.82

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#277

-8.82

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#294

103.2

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#239

112.1

Adjusted Tempo

#134

69.2

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#325

33.4

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#270

49.1%

TOV%

#278

18.2%

ORB%

#256

28.2%

FTR

#207

34.3%

🔮 Crystal Ball

1 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

7% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 103.2, D: 112.1

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-8.8

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:31.3%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #294, Def: #239

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:31.6%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.73

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:33.4

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-3.1%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-2.8%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.9%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-5.85

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-15.8

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:74.2%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)