No. 190· BW

UC Davis

Record 19-14Tempo 70.2Off 106.7Def 108.0

Adj. Efficiency Margin-1.32

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#190

-1.32

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#224

106.7

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#147

108.0

Adjusted Tempo

#83

70.2

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#189

50.2

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#165

51.7%

TOV%

#252

17.7%

ORB%

#306

26.6%

FTR

#74

39.0%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

27% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 106.7, D: 108.0

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-1.3

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:57.6%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #224, Def: #147

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:34.4%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.11

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:50.2

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-0.5%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:1.6%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-4.8%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:0.97

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-8.8

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:75.3%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)