No. 117· Amer

UAB

Record 20-12Tempo 70.3Off 110.5Def 106.4

Adj. Efficiency Margin+4.07

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#117

4.07

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#151

110.5

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#111

106.4

Adjusted Tempo

#79

70.3

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#87

59.2

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#301

48.5%

TOV%

12.4%

ORB%

#139

31.8%

FTR

#172

35.5%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 110.5, D: 106.4

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:4.1

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:62.5%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #151, Def: #111

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:27.8%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.33

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:59.2

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-2.3%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:4.2%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:5.1%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:7.72

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-5.6

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:70.6%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)