No. 149· CAA

Towson

Record 19-15Tempo 64.7Off 106.1Def 104.3

Adj. Efficiency Margin+1.78

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#149

1.78

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#237

106.1

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#72

104.3

Adjusted Tempo

#354

64.7

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#181

51.0

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#334

47.1%

TOV%

#159

16.5%

ORB%

#34

35.9%

FTR

#298

30.4%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 106.1, D: 104.3

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:1.8

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:55.9%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #237, Def: #72

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:29.4%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.14

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:51.0

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-1.9%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.2%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:7.9%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:-0.01

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-8.4

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:68.9%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)