No. 127· MAC

Toledo

Record 19-15Tempo 68.2Off 114.7Def 111.4

Adj. Efficiency Margin+3.25

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#127

3.25

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#80

114.7

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#226

111.4

Adjusted Tempo

#208

68.2

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#135

54.3

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#80

54.1%

TOV%

#74

15.1%

ORB%

#221

29.4%

FTR

#323

29.6%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

27% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 114.7, D: 111.4

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:3.2

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:55.9%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #80, Def: #226

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:37.0%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.26

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:54.3

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:0.6%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:2.5%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-4.1%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:2.76

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-8.9

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:75.4%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)