No. 242· SB

Texas St.

Record 19-13Tempo 68.0Off 104.0Def 109.9

Adj. Efficiency Margin-5.84

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#242

-5.84

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#260

104.0

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#217

109.9

Adjusted Tempo

#253

68.0

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#201

49.4

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#265

49.2%

TOV%

#303

18.9%

ORB%

#112

32.3%

FTR

#241

32.6%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 104.0, D: 109.9

Need:(O ≥ 120.6 & D ≤ 100.7) or EM ≥ 30.2

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-5.8

Need:≥ 30.2

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:59.4%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #260, Def: #217

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:32.2%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.49

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:49.4

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-4.9%

Need:≥ 7.3%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.6%

Need:≥ 0.2%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:3.8%

Need:≥ 0.9%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-5.41

Need:≥ -4.58

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-9.8

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:76.2%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)