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Texas A&M
No. 45· SEC

Texas A&M

Record 22-12Tempo 72.4Off 118.4Def 102.7
Adj. Efficiency Margin+15.65
Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin
#45
15.65
Adjusted Offensive Efficiency
#49
118.4
Adjusted Defensive Efficiency
#49
102.7
Adjusted Tempo
#16
72.4

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)
#58
63.5

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%
#56
55.0%
TOV%
#49
14.7%
ORB%
#101
32.9%
FTR
#114
37.5%

🔮 Crystal Ball

5 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

33% complete
*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL
Value:Outside
Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL
Value:O: 118.4, D: 102.7
Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL
Value:15.7
Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL
Value:64.7%
Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL
Value:Off: #49, Def: #49
Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS
Value:35.9%
Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL
Value:Z: 1.29
Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A
Value:N/A
Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL
Value:63.5
Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL
Value:5.6%
Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS
Value:4.9%
Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS
Value:2.9%
Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS
Value:3.64
Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL
Value:1.6
Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS
Value:73.8%
Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)
🥿

Cinderella Index

Upset-potential score based on strength, defense, possession, variance & resume.

78
Elite Cinderella Threat
AdjEM-to-seed is 2 spots better than seed — correctly or overseeded.
Underseeded (28%)72
Defense (27%)85
Possession (21%)85
Variance (14%)62
Resume (10%)88
View full Cinderella Index →