No. 33· SEC

Texas

Record 21-15Tempo 67.3Off 123.9Def 106.0

Adj. Efficiency Margin+17.92

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#33

17.92

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#14

123.9

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#100

106.0

Adjusted Tempo

#258

67.3

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#64

62.3

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#39

56.1%

TOV%

#45

14.6%

ORB%

#22

36.9%

FTR

45.4%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

27% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 123.9, D: 106.0

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:17.9

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:58.3%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #14, Def: #100

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:35.1%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 1.47

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:62.3

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:7.5%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.3%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:11.9%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:7.76

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:0.9

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:74.4%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)

🥿

Cinderella Index

Upset-potential score based on strength, defense, possession, variance & resume.

Elite Cinderella Threat

⚠ Seeded 2 spots worse than AdjEM suggests — underseeded!

Underseeded (28%)93

Defense (27%)64

Possession (21%)62

Variance (14%)53

Resume (10%)90

View full Cinderella Index →