No. 48· B12

TCU

Record 23-12Tempo 68.9Off 115.6Def 100.5

Adj. Efficiency Margin+15.14

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#48

15.14

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#75

115.6

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#28

100.5

Adjusted Tempo

#161

68.9

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#67

62.2

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#136

52.4%

TOV%

#65

15.0%

ORB%

#44

35.3%

FTR

#50

40.1%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

27% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 115.6, D: 100.5

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:15.1

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:65.7%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #75, Def: #28

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:33.2%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 1.24

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:62.2

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:2.9%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:5.7%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:8.5%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:10.28

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:2.4

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:70.4%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)

🥿

Cinderella Index

Upset-potential score based on strength, defense, possession, variance & resume.

Elite Cinderella Threat

AdjEM-to-seed is 3 spots better than seed — correctly or overseeded.

Underseeded (28%)67

Defense (27%)88

Possession (21%)89

Variance (14%)40

Resume (10%)87

View full Cinderella Index →