No. 231· WAC

Tarleton St.

Record 14-18Tempo 70.9Off 103.8Def 108.7

Adj. Efficiency Margin-4.90

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#231

-4.90

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#285

103.8

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#166

108.7

Adjusted Tempo

#42

70.9

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#268

41.0

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#280

48.9%

TOV%

#325

19.1%

ORB%

#132

31.9%

FTR

#95

38.4%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 103.8, D: 108.7

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-4.9

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:43.8%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #285, Def: #166

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:32.5%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.41

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:41.0

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-5.3%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:2.2%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.0%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-8.11

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-12.1

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:74.2%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)