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No. 12· BE
St. John's
Record 30-7Tempo 69.8Off 120.2Def 95.5
Adj. Efficiency Margin+24.72
Core Metrics
Adjusted Efficiency Margin
#1224.72
Adjusted Offensive Efficiency
#39120.2
Adjusted Defensive Efficiency
#995.5
Adjusted Tempo
#11069.8
Four Factor Performance
Four Factor Index (WZ100)
#19
72.9
Overall four-factor dominance score
eFG%
#10353.3%
TOV%
#1913.8%
ORB%
#2636.6%
FTR
#1143.5%
🔮 Crystal Ball
9 / 15
National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*
60% complete
*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.
Trapezoid of Excellence
PASS
Value:Inside
Need:Inside trapezoid
Balanced Dominance
FAIL
Value:O: 120.2, D: 95.5
Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4
Title Favorite (AdjEM)
FAIL
Value:24.7
Need:≥ 30.5
Win Percentage
PASS
Value:81.1%
Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)
Elite Efficiency
FAIL
Value:Off: #39, Def: #9
Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45
3-Point %
PASS
Value:33.5%
Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)
Elite AdjEM
PASS
Value:Z: 2.03
Need:Z ≥ 1.76
AP Poll Week 6
FAIL
Value:#22
Need:≤ 12
Four Factor Index
FAIL
Value:72.9
Need:≥ 77.8
eFG Margin
FAIL
Value:7.3%
Need:≥ 7.5%
Turnover Edge
PASS
Value:7.0%
Need:≥ 0.4%
Rebounding Edge
PASS
Value:9.1%
Need:≥ 1.5%
FTR Margin
PASS
Value:12.11
Need:≥ -4.28
WAB (Wins Above Bubble)
PASS
Value:7.9
Need:> 5
Free Throw %
PASS
Value:72.2%
Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)