No. 120· MVC

Southern Illinois

Record 16-16Tempo 70.1Off 104.3Def 100.4

Adj. Efficiency Margin+3.98

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#120

3.98

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#278

104.3

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#27

100.4

Adjusted Tempo

#91

70.1

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#106

56.5

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#246

49.8%

TOV%

#187

16.8%

ORB%

#167

31.0%

FTR

#232

33.0%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 104.3, D: 100.4

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:4.0

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:50.0%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #278, Def: #27

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:27.8%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.32

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:56.5

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:0.9%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:2.1%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:2.6%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:1.96

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-9.0

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:68.3%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)