No. 287· SWAC

Southern

Record 17-17Tempo 71.0Off 105.6Def 115.0

Adj. Efficiency Margin-9.45

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#287

-9.45

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#251

105.6

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#300

115.0

Adjusted Tempo

#41

71.0

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#239

45.1

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#283

48.9%

TOV%

#181

16.7%

ORB%

#205

30.0%

FTR

#135

36.8%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 105.6, D: 115.0

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-9.4

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:50.0%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #251, Def: #300

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:34.8%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.78

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:45.1

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-5.7%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:1.1%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.8%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-5.37

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-11.8

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:69.5%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)