No. 213· Sum

South Dakota St.

Record 14-18Tempo 67.7Off 108.7Def 111.5

Adj. Efficiency Margin-2.79

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#213

-2.79

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#187

108.7

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#228

111.5

Adjusted Tempo

#230

67.7

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#176

51.4

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#193

51.1%

TOV%

#137

16.2%

ORB%

#199

30.1%

FTR

#305

30.3%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 108.7, D: 111.5

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-2.8

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:43.8%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #187, Def: #228

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:34.0%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.23

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:51.4

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-1.0%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.2%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:3.5%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-4.72

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-12.8

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:72.0%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)