No. 42· ACC

SMU

Record 20-14Tempo 69.1Off 122.6Def 106.5

Adj. Efficiency Margin+16.06

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#42

16.06

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#22

122.6

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#116

106.5

Adjusted Tempo

#145

69.1

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#54

64.0

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#19

57.1%

TOV%

#79

15.2%

ORB%

#21

37.1%

FTR

#273

31.4%

🔮 Crystal Ball

6 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

40% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 122.6, D: 106.5

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:16.1

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:58.8%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #22, Def: #116

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:37.1%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 1.32

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:64.0

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

PASS

Value:7.9%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:2.6%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:7.0%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:0.64

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-1.0

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:74.3%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)

🥿

Cinderella Index

Upset-potential score based on strength, defense, possession, variance & resume.

Elite Cinderella Threat

Seeded exactly where AdjEM expects.

Underseeded (28%)87

Defense (27%)72

Possession (21%)80

Variance (14%)50

Resume (10%)86

View full Cinderella Index →