No. 35· WCC

Santa Clara

Record 26-9Tempo 70.8Off 121.3Def 104.0

Adj. Efficiency Margin+17.28

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#35

17.28

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#30

121.3

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#68

104.0

Adjusted Tempo

#48

70.8

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#53

64.1

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#31

56.6%

TOV%

#69

15.1%

ORB%

#19

37.5%

FTR

#361

26.4%

🔮 Crystal Ball

5 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

33% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 121.3, D: 104.0

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:17.3

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

PASS

Value:74.3%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #30, Def: #68

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:34.9%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 1.42

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:64.1

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:6.2%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:5.3%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:6.5%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-12.38

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:1.4

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:74.4%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)

🥿

Cinderella Index

Upset-potential score based on strength, defense, possession, variance & resume.

Elite Cinderella Threat

⚠ Seeded 1 spot worse than AdjEM suggests — underseeded!

Underseeded (28%)90

Defense (27%)79

Possession (21%)90

Variance (14%)57

Resume (10%)84

View full Cinderella Index →