No. 49· MWC

San Diego St.

Record 22-11Tempo 70.6Off 112.7Def 98.7

Adj. Efficiency Margin+13.93

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#49

13.93

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#107

112.7

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#18

98.7

Adjusted Tempo

#59

70.6

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#47

64.7

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#99

53.5%

TOV%

#176

16.7%

ORB%

#154

31.4%

FTR

#76

38.9%

🔮 Crystal Ball

5 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

33% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 112.7, D: 98.7

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:13.9

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:66.7%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #107, Def: #18

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:34.5%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 1.14

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:64.7

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:6.7%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:3.9%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:2.6%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:3.54

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:0.2

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:73.0%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)