No. 203· SC

Samford

Record 18-14Tempo 68.8Off 110.1Def 112.4

Adj. Efficiency Margin-2.25

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#203

-2.25

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#156

110.1

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#249

112.4

Adjusted Tempo

#167

68.8

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#133

54.7

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#177

51.4%

TOV%

#28

14.3%

ORB%

#339

24.9%

FTR

#26

41.7%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 110.1, D: 112.4

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-2.2

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:56.3%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #156, Def: #249

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:35.6%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.19

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:54.7

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-1.1%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.9%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.4%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:9.16

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-9.5

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:69.2%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)