No. 27· WCC

Saint Mary's

Record 27-6Tempo 65.1Off 119.1Def 99.8

Adj. Efficiency Margin+19.29

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#27

19.29

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#44

119.1

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#26

99.8

Adjusted Tempo

#345

65.1

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#14

74.2

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#87

53.8%

TOV%

#157

16.4%

ORB%

#14

38.1%

FTR

#153

36.3%

🔮 Crystal Ball

6 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

40% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 119.1, D: 99.8

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:19.3

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

PASS

Value:81.8%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #44, Def: #26

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:38.7%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 1.59

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:74.2

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

PASS

Value:7.9%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.7%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:14.1%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:9.05

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:3.0

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:80.3%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)