No. 174· B10

Penn St.

Record 12-20Tempo 68.0Off 112.9Def 112.7

Adj. Efficiency Margin+0.21

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#174

0.21

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#104

112.9

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#258

112.7

Adjusted Tempo

#214

68.0

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#277

40.2

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#63

54.8%

TOV%

#100

15.6%

ORB%

#272

27.6%

FTR

#85

38.7%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 112.9, D: 112.7

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:0.2

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:37.5%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #104, Def: #258

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:32.4%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.01

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:40.2

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-0.6%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:3.0%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.9%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:12.43

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-7.3

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:75.0%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)