No. 70· B10

Northwestern

Record 15-19Tempo 65.6Off 116.3Def 105.4

Adj. Efficiency Margin+10.83

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#70

10.83

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#69

116.3

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#94

105.4

Adjusted Tempo

#327

65.6

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#128

54.9

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#97

53.6%

TOV%

13.1%

ORB%

#201

30.1%

FTR

#116

37.4%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

27% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 116.3, D: 105.4

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:10.8

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:44.1%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #69, Def: #94

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:33.0%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.89

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:54.9

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:5.2%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:5.9%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-2.2%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:4.87

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-4.5

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:75.1%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)