No. 168· Horz

Northern Kentucky

Record 20-14Tempo 71.3Off 110.2Def 109.8

Adj. Efficiency Margin+0.41

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#168

0.41

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#154

110.2

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#189

109.8

Adjusted Tempo

#30

71.3

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#160

52.7

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#174

51.5%

TOV%

#191

16.8%

ORB%

#169

30.9%

FTR

#199

34.5%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 110.2, D: 109.8

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:0.4

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:58.8%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #154, Def: #189

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:33.6%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.03

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:52.7

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-2.1%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:2.0%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.4%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-4.85

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-9.5

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:72.1%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)