No. 343· MAC

Northern Illinois

Record 9-21Tempo 68.3Off 96.5Def 114.3

Adj. Efficiency Margin-17.76

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#343

-17.76

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#355

96.5

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#287

114.3

Adjusted Tempo

#200

68.3

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#351

24.2

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#331

47.2%

TOV%

#361

21.5%

ORB%

#209

29.8%

FTR

#81

38.8%

🔮 Crystal Ball

1 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

7% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 96.5, D: 114.3

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-17.8

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:30.0%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #355, Def: #287

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:30.9%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -1.47

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:24.2

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-7.8%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-4.8%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.1%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:1.64

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-15.6

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:65.7%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)