No. 288· Sum

North Dakota

Record 18-17Tempo 68.4Off 106.5Def 116.1

Adj. Efficiency Margin-9.58

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#288

-9.58

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#229

106.5

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#311

116.1

Adjusted Tempo

#194

68.4

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#291

39.3

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#304

48.4%

TOV%

#85

15.3%

ORB%

#269

27.7%

FTR

#70

39.3%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 106.5, D: 116.1

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-9.6

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:51.4%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #229, Def: #311

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:32.7%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.79

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:39.3

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-8.8%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:4.2%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-6.6%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-5.28

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-11.4

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:69.5%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)