No. 348· MEAC

North Carolina Central

Record 14-18Tempo 66.1Off 102.6Def 121.7

Adj. Efficiency Margin-19.11

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#348

-19.11

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#303

102.6

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#359

121.7

Adjusted Tempo

#317

66.1

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#335

31.8

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#333

47.1%

TOV%

#285

18.3%

ORB%

#228

29.1%

FTR

#174

35.4%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 102.6, D: 121.7

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-19.1

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:43.8%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #303, Def: #359

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:32.6%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -1.58

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:31.8

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-9.5%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.7%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-9.4%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:0.12

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-13.2

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:73.8%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)