No. 29· ACC

North Carolina

Record 24-9Tempo 68.6Off 120.3Def 101.5

Adj. Efficiency Margin+18.77

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#29

18.77

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#37

120.3

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#36

101.5

Adjusted Tempo

#181

68.6

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#30

69.1

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#37

56.4%

TOV%

#14

13.4%

ORB%

#97

33.0%

FTR

#67

39.4%

🔮 Crystal Ball

5 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

33% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 120.3, D: 101.5

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:18.8

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:72.7%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #37, Def: #36

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:34.2%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 1.54

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

FAIL

Value:#14

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:69.1

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

PASS

Value:9.7%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:1.3%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:7.4%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:16.19

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:4.1

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:68.2%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)